Jaguars vs. Dolphins Predictions & Picks: Odds, Moneyline, Spread – Week 1

Published 3:36 pm Saturday, September 7, 2024

The Miami Dolphins will meet the Jacksonville Jaguars at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, Sept. 8 at 1:00 p.m. ET. Our computer model projects the Dolphins will win — see below for a full breakdown regarding the spread, over/under and final score.

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The Dolphins ranked 22nd in scoring defense last season (23.0 points allowed per game), but they thrived on the other side of the ball, ranking second-best in the NFL with 29.2 points per game. The Jaguars totaled 22.2 points per game on offense last season (13th in NFL), and they ranked 17th on the other side of the ball with 21.8 points allowed per game.

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Jaguars vs. Dolphins Predictions and Picks

ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Dolphins (-3.5) Under (49) Dolphins 26, Jaguars 21

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Jaguars Betting Info

  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 37.7% chance of a victory for the Jaguars.
  • Jacksonville put together a 9-8-0 record against the spread last year.
  • The Jaguars were an underdog by 3.5 points or more two times last year, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
  • Jacksonville and its opponent combined to hit the over eight out of 17 times last year.
  • Games involving the Jaguars last year averaged 43.0 points per game, a 6.0-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.

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Dolphins Betting Info

  • The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Dolphins a 66.7% chance to win.
  • Miami covered 10 times in 17 matchups with a spread last season.
  • The Dolphins were 7-2 ATS last season when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
  • Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total nine times in Miami games.
  • Dolphins games last season posted an average total of 47.0, which is 2.0 points fewer than the total for this matchup.

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Jaguars vs. Dolphins 2023 Scoring Insights

Pts Pts Allowed Home Pts Home Pts Allowed Away Pts Away Pts Allowed
Dolphins 29.2 23.0 31.9 17.3 26.1 29.4
Jaguars 22.2 21.8 20.8 20.7 23.8 23.1

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