Saturday’s contest between the South Alabama Jaguars (17-9, 9-4 Sun Belt) and the Texas State Bobcats (13-13, 6-7 Sun Belt) at Mitchell Center has a projected final score of 74-67 based on our computer prediction, with a favored South Alabama squad securing the victory. Game time is at 4:00 PM ET on February 15.

According to our computer prediction, South Alabama is a good bet to cover the spread, which currently sits at 6.5. The two teams are projected to go over the 136.5 over/under.

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South Alabama vs. Texas State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 15, 2025
• Time: 4:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Mobile, Alabama
• Venue: Mitchell Center
• Line: South Alabama -6.5
• Point total: 136.5
• Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -280, Texas State +220

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South Alabama vs. Texas State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  South Alabama 74, Texas State 67

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Texas State

• Pick ATS: South Alabama (-6.5)
• Pick OU: Over (136.5)

South Alabama’s record against the spread so far this season is 13-11-0, and Texas State’s is 11-13-0. A total of nine out of the Jaguars’ games this season have gone over the point total, and 14 of the Bobcats’ games have gone over. The teams combine to score 148.2 points per game, 11.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 games, South Alabama is 3-7 against the spread and 5-5 overall while Texas State has gone 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars have a +232 scoring differential, topping opponents by 8.9 points per game. They’re putting up 72.5 points per game to rank 233rd in college basketball and are giving up 63.6 per contest to rank 15th in college basketball.
• The 31.5 rebounds per game South Alabama averages rank 225th in the country, and are 1.5 fewer than the 33.0 its opponents grab per outing.
• South Alabama hits 9.1 three-pointers per game (60th in college basketball), 2.4 fewer than its opponents (11.5).
• The Jaguars rank 117th in college basketball by averaging 98.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 37th in college basketball, allowing 86.2 points per 100 possessions.
• South Alabama has committed 8.6 turnovers per game (fourth in college basketball play), 3.9 fewer than the 12.5 it forces on average (98th in college basketball).

Texas State Performance Insights

• The Bobcats have a +79 scoring differential, topping opponents by 3.0 points per game. They’re putting up 75.7 points per game, 138th in college basketball, and are giving up 72.7 per outing to rank 214th in college basketball.
• Texas State comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 3.1 boards. It records 32.5 rebounds per game (157th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 29.4.
• Texas State knocks down 5.7 three-pointers per game (347th in college basketball) while shooting 36.8% from beyond the arc (55th in college basketball). It is making 1.7 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 7.4 per game at 37.3%.
• Texas State forces 11.5 turnovers per game (181st in college basketball) while committing 11.5 (206th in college basketball).

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