Wednesday’s contest features the Arkansas State Red Wolves (19-8, 10-4 Sun Belt) and the South Alabama Jaguars (18-9, 10-4 Sun Belt) facing off at First National Bank Arena (on February 19) at 8:00 PM ET. This matchup, according to our computer prediction, will result in a 75-67 win for Arkansas State.

Based on our computer prediction, South Alabama projects to cover the 8.5-point spread in its matchup against Arkansas State. The total has been set at 141.5, and the two sides are projected to exceed it.

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Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Wednesday, February 19, 2025
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: Jonesboro, Arkansas
• Venue: First National Bank Arena
• Line: Arkansas State -8.5
• Point total: 141.5
• Moneyline (to win): Arkansas State -385, South Alabama +290

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Arkansas State vs. South Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Arkansas State 75, South Alabama 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Arkansas State vs. South Alabama

• Pick ATS: South Alabama (+8.5)
• Pick OU: Over (141.5)

Arkansas State is 15-11-0 against the spread this season compared to South Alabama’s 13-12-0 ATS record. A total of 11 out of the Red Wolves’ games this season have hit the over, and nine of the Jaguars’ games have gone over. The two teams score an average of 151.4 points per game, 9.9 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, Arkansas State has an 8-2 record against the spread while going 7-3 overall. South Alabama has gone 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 matches.

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Arkansas State Performance Insights

• The Red Wolves outscore opponents by 9.2 points per game (scoring 79.0 points per game to rank 63rd in college basketball while giving up 69.8 per contest to rank 118th in college basketball) and have a +247 scoring differential overall.
• Arkansas State wins the rebound battle by 2.9 boards on average. It collects 37.6 rebounds per game, which ranks seventh in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 34.7 per outing.
• Arkansas State makes 2.9 more threes per contest than the opposition, 9.2 (57th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.3.
• The Red Wolves rank 153rd in college basketball by averaging 96.6 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 25th in college basketball, allowing 85.4 points per 100 possessions.
• Arkansas State wins the turnover battle by 2.3 per game, committing 9.9 (52nd in college basketball) while its opponents average 12.2.

South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars are outscoring opponents by 8.7 points per game, with a +237 scoring differential overall. They put up 72.4 points per game (233rd in college basketball) and give up 63.7 per outing (15th in college basketball).
• South Alabama comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 1.9 boards. It pulls down 31.5 rebounds per game (215th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 33.4.
• South Alabama hits 8.9 three-pointers per game (70th in college basketball), 2.5 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 32.6% from deep (260th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 33.2%.
• South Alabama has committed 8.6 turnovers per game (fourth in college basketball), 4.0 fewer than the 12.6 it forces (86th in college basketball).

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