Saturday’s contest between the South Alabama Jaguars (19-9, 11-4 Sun Belt) and Texas State Bobcats (14-14, 7-8 Sun Belt) matching up at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center has a projected final score of 72-70 (based on our computer prediction) in favor of South Alabama, so it should be a competitive matchup. The game will begin at 5:30 PM ET on February 22.

According to our computer prediction, South Alabama is projected to cover the spread (1.5) versus Texas State. The two sides are projected to eclipse the 134.5 total.

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Texas State vs. South Alabama Game Info & Odds

• Date: Saturday, February 22, 2025
• Time: 5:30 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
• Where: San Marcos, Texas
• Venue: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center
• Line: Texas State -1.5
• Point total: 134.5
• Moneyline (to win): Texas State -122, South Alabama +100

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Texas State vs. South Alabama Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  South Alabama 71, Texas State 70

Spread & Total Prediction for Texas State vs. South Alabama

• Pick ATS: South Alabama (+1.5)
• Pick OU: Over (134.5)

Texas State is 13-13-0 against the spread, while South Alabama’s ATS record this season is 14-12-0. The Bobcats have gone over the point total in 15 games, while Jaguars games have gone over nine times. The two teams average 147.5 points per game, 13.0 more points than this matchup’s total. Texas State has a 4-6 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall in the last 10 contests. South Alabama has gone 3-7 against the spread and 6-4 overall in its last 10 contests.

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Texas State Performance Insights

• The Bobcats are outscoring opponents by 3.2 points per game with a +91 scoring differential overall. They put up 75.5 points per game (136th in college basketball) and allow 72.3 per outing (199th in college basketball).
• Texas State pulls down 33.6 rebounds per game (88th in college basketball) while allowing 29.2 per outing to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 4.4 boards per game.
• Texas State hits 5.9 three-pointers per game (338th in college basketball), 1.5 fewer than its opponents (7.4).
• The Bobcats rank 134th in college basketball with 97.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 183rd in college basketball defensively with 93.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.
• Texas State has committed 11.5 turnovers per game (207th in college basketball action) while forcing 11.3 (194th in college basketball).

South Alabama Performance Insights

• The Jaguars outscore opponents by 8.6 points per game (posting 72 points per game, 244th in college basketball, and giving up 63.4 per contest, 14th in college basketball) and have a +241 scoring differential.
• South Alabama records 31.4 rebounds per game (218th in college basketball) while allowing 33.8 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 2.4 boards per game.
• South Alabama makes 8.8 three-pointers per game (76th in college basketball) at a 32.6% rate (255th in college basketball), compared to the 11.2 per outing its opponents make, shooting 32.7% from beyond the arc.
• South Alabama has come up on top in the turnover battle by 4.3 per game, committing 8.5 (third in college basketball) while forcing 12.8 (77th in college basketball).

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