South Alabama vs. Louisiana Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 28

Published 7:09 pm Thursday, February 27, 2025

Friday’s contest between the South Alabama Jaguars (20-10, 12-5 Sun Belt) and the Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (11-19, 8-9 Sun Belt) at Mitchell Center has a good chance to be a one-sided matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 75-64 and heavily favors South Alabama to secure the victory. Game time is at 8 p.m. ET on February 28.

Based on our computer prediction, Louisiana is projected to cover the point spread (12.5) against South Alabama. The two teams are projected to go over the 134.5 total.

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South Alabama vs. Louisiana Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Mobile, Alabama
  • Venue: Mitchell Center
  • Line: South Alabama -12.5
  • Point total: 134.5
  • Moneyline (to win): South Alabama -952, Louisiana +610

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South Alabama vs. Louisiana Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    South Alabama 75, Louisiana 64

Spread & Total Prediction for South Alabama vs. Louisiana

  • Pick ATS: Louisiana (+12.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (134.5)

South Alabama has a 15-13-0 record against the spread this season compared to Louisiana, who is 12-17-0 ATS. The Jaguars are 11-17-0 and the Ragin’ Cajuns are 11-18-0 in terms of hitting the over. The two teams combine to score 139.7 points per game, 5.2 more points than this matchup’s total. South Alabama is 4-6 against the spread and 6-4 overall over its past 10 contests, while Louisiana has gone 7-3 against the spread and 5-5 overall.

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South Alabama Performance Insights

  • The Jaguars have a +246 scoring differential, topping opponents by 8.2 points per game. They’re putting up 73.2 points per game to rank 208th in college basketball and are giving up 65.0 per outing to rank 23rd in college basketball.
  • South Alabama is 217th in the nation at 31.4 rebounds per game. That’s 2.1 fewer than the 33.5 its opponents average.
  • South Alabama connects on 2.4 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 8.9 (71st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 11.3.
  • The Jaguars average 98.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (117th in college basketball), and allow 87.3 points per 100 possessions (46th in college basketball).
  • South Alabama has come out ahead in the turnover battle by 4.2 turnovers per game, committing 8.5 (third in college basketball play) while forcing 12.7 (74th in college basketball).

Louisiana Performance Insights

  • The Ragin’ Cajuns are being outscored by 7.1 points per game, with a -214 scoring differential overall. They put up 66.5 points per game (346th in college basketball), and allow 73.6 per contest (234th in college basketball).
  • Louisiana ranks 351st in the nation at 27.4 rebounds per game. That’s 8.0 fewer than the 35.4 its opponents average.
  • Louisiana connects on 6.7 three-pointers per game (291st in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 6.5. It shoots 31.2% from deep, and its opponents shoot 31.3%.
  • Louisiana has come out ahead in the turnover battle by 2.6 per game, committing 10.1 (69th in college basketball) while forcing 12.7 (74th in college basketball).

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